Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 512.719222 544.931440 578.379053 615.759956 656.439617 699.443686 748.441241
2026-02-01 472.668335 517.230633 565.347163 621.368488 685.059449 755.521263 839.789017
2026-02-08 447.599804 499.949159 558.063800 627.755444 709.578680 803.239288 919.487133
2026-02-15 425.336451 482.923264 548.292763 628.593849 725.411289 839.447810 985.537053
2026-02-22 406.852841 468.413603 539.638534 628.972401 739.213453 872.392147 1047.932562
2026-03-01 392.506378 457.547509 534.096416 631.934890 755.267524 907.798443 1114.294351
2026-03-08 377.953670 445.404856 525.992674 630.730718 765.301697 935.304520 1171.165170
2026-03-15 365.945127 435.606848 520.003060 631.417742 777.161058 965.036443 1231.917183
2026-03-22 354.693734 426.104826 513.732065 631.093021 787.203102 992.300014 1290.250736
2026-03-29 344.600486 417.529850 508.093643 631.044354 797.201610 1019.497463 1349.506608
2026-04-05 336.833681 411.516421 505.340788 634.423412 811.618269 1053.006002 1419.258054
2026-04-12 328.284993 404.100119 500.359042 634.413847 821.108667 1079.749542 1480.300410
2026-04-19 322.321633 399.828340 499.309404 639.606768 837.952100 1117.623106 1560.249303
2026-04-26 316.999457 396.155092 498.823859 645.399224 855.688003 1157.404689 1645.369875
2026-05-03 312.386245 393.208126 499.112534 652.127127 874.853694 1199.983383 1737.352996
2026-05-10 305.942659 387.547408 495.445967 653.008685 885.343508 1229.821141 1810.532045
2026-05-17 299.709428 381.945786 491.617013 653.407054 894.967245 1258.571858 1883.498099
2026-05-24 294.759882 377.919744 489.786088 656.524404 908.652823 1294.088441 1969.936132
2026-05-31 288.611303 372.035972 485.127806 655.257254 915.473366 1318.902716 2039.394411
2026-06-07 283.426411 367.325892 481.944042 655.980205 925.270547 1348.786279 2119.536615
2026-06-14 278.158201 362.336673 478.180315 655.638501 933.277051 1375.972878 2196.489952
2026-06-21 273.229429 357.679661 474.727946 655.587289 941.638420 1403.997627 2276.726038
2026-06-28 269.619034 354.783615 473.706936 659.143210 955.826593 1442.375554 2378.940758